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Playing on favorites in the first round is a sure way to bankruptcy, but in this case, I'll gladly be hooked on the bookmakers' bait, and try with Monaco's convincing win. A lot of motivated players in the home team, including coach Jardim who wants to prove himself as soon as possible, goal-hungry recovered Falcao, and the little genius Ferreira-Carrasco who had a miserable spring. They defeated Atletico Nacional and Parma in the preparation period with a handicap, and scored 12 to the Austrian amateurs in 90 minutes, so I think they have the potential to score two-three to Lorient as they are right now. The guests lost their charismatic coach, but even more important, of the last year's defense, only the left back Guerreiro will be here now. Gassama and Lautoa are injured, Ecuele-Manga is punished, and Bourillon and Baca left the club. The only real defensive reinforcement Mostefa still didn't get the right to play. Details

On one side, we have a coach who has defense for breakfast, lunch and dinner. The Macedonian coach Dzikic created a decent defensive team from a shooting team, and the numbers from friendly matches prove it. Macedonia were left under this margin in all four irrelevant matches. Of course, one of the reasons is that Antic, McCaleb, Ilievski, Gecevski didn't play, and Macedonia lost about 40 points per match like that. Belgium seem really powerful physically in this team, they're strong and it's not surprising they place attention on defense. Some of their matches went over in the preparation period, but it mostly happened against offensively good teams (Turkey, France), or weaker defenses (Great Britain). When they faced an aggressive opponent like the Dutch, that barely went over 100 points. Duels between Macedonia and Belgium will probably give the winner of the group, so the stakes are huge right at the beginning of the qualifications, so it all points to an under of points, and a good option, I think, is the counter handicap on Belgium who are hard to crush. I don't think this Macedonia can do it. Details

There are a few reasons I think this is a good bet. Mostly Ungur's experience in the finals. He's got seven challenger titles, and Veic only one. Yesterday, the Romanian crushed Giannessi and both pointed out the Italian's reason as the cause. Nobody spent more time on court this week than Veic did. He started from the qualifications, this is his eighth match this week, and he spent 12 hours on court. Yesterday, he won the mental battle against Clezar. We saw lots of breaks, eight in the first set alone, and the mentally stronger passed. Considering Veic's tennis is based on running and fighting, not just tactics or hits quality, the fatigue will definitely be a factor. On the other hand, Ungur played his best match in San Marino yesterday. He said he's on a climbing route. In the end, he defeated Veic in all three matches they played, and covered this handicap every time. So, Ungur is improving, he's a proven challenger player with seven titles, and Veic spent 12 hours on court this week. Besides, the Croatian has only one challenger title in his career, and he lost all three matches against Ungur, every time in this handicap. Details

I really don't have to explain this a lot. These two teams played against each other about a year ago and Austria celebrated pretty convincingly both times, well over this margin. At home, they won by 34, and in the away match, by 33. Compared to those matches, the Austrians have the same team basically (only the less important Poiger is missing), and they even got the good Murati. Luxembourg, not good as it is, come without their first scorer Picard who scored 19.2 points per match in the last qualifications. The qualifications are beginning, the Austrians announce a serious approach, they don't have a right to make a mistake, and I see them giving a slap to the basketball Lilliputian from Luxembourg. This is definitely worth a higher stake. Details

Krka can't count on being placed high this season either, but they brought a good coach Rus, and have a decent team that should secure staying in the elite rang without any problems. Zavrc regularly defeated them last season, but this chance is ideal from the Novo Mesto club. Zavrc lost two starting team players this week, and they'll miss the main scorer Smrekar, too. Krka goalie Obradovic is in a great form for some time now, which will make the guests' job even more difficult. Details

A city derby between Dynamo and Spartak offered some strange results in the last two years. Three of four times, the guest team crushed the home team, and it wouldn't be thankful to predict who will win today. Still, by taking a look at the last matches they played, and seeing that there were 20 goals in the last four matches, a bet on many goals just begs you to take it. This was confirmed additionally in the first round when both team stuffed the opponent's net, and they're both teams with very tough defenses. Dynamo scored 7 goals against Rostov, and Rubin conceded four goals by Spartak. In this derby, nobody cares about getting one point, and who will win will be decided with the offense, not defense, so over 2.5 seems like a good pick. Details